Update for 9th August 2011

Panic & Chaos Continue !

This edition of The Ultimate Momentum Signal post consists of just the basic minimum updates. Please see the previous post for more market commentaries.

Nifty Futures Daily Chart       

Update for 8th August 2011

It's Chaos Out There !

• Finally, major stock market indices have decisively broken out of their eighteen month old upward moving trading channel. Sadly, they have broken downwards. 
• The just broken channel had a height of 650 points approximately.
• Now the question is, will the market revisit the lower boundary of another support line to be drawn some 650 points below the just broken channel.
• As stock markets all over the world have been shaken and started a significant down move simultaneously, such a possibility is not out of the realms as of now.
• As such, next major medium term support for the Nifty is at around the 4700 to 4800 levels. However, readers may please take note that this is not a trade recommendation and is provided as a medium term plausible scenario. Even if the scenario works out  as expected, it might happen only after some time and that too, after some recoveries. It is also possible that, by that time, the support might move upwards merely because of  passage of time.  
• In the meanwhile, the lower boundary of the just broken old trading channel and the forward slanting supply line will act as the resistances against any up moves.
• Even after the continuous fall for the past eight months or so Nifty index is just reaching the long term trailing valuation averages by now. This author was regularly pointing out the fact that the index is retaining premium valuations, in spite of the low growth scenario. ( Please see the regular updates of trailing fundamentals of Nifty index and the long term analysis report thereof. )        

S&P CNX Nifty Index - Weekly Chart 

Nifty Futures Daily Chart