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Thursday, June 23, 2011

Update for 23rd June 2011


  Two Inside Day Candles In a Row, What Now ?

As expected, Nifty futures traded sideways for the entire trading day on Wednesday, in spite of recovery in the international markets. The sideways trading observed during the last two trading days has lead to the formation of two inside day candles in the daily chart of Nifty futures. An inside candle after a fast move is an indication of indecision by the market participants. And sometimes these inside day candles can also indicate reversals and are used as trading setups. Here is a reproduction of an old post which described the inside day candle trading set up. 

How to Trade an Inside Day Candle
  • As this author feels that he is obliged to the readers to at least add a small note on how to  trade an inside day candle, here it is !
            Inside Day Candle- Chart 1

  • The last candles complete range is covered by the immediately preceding candle. Therefore, the last candle is called an inside candle. Please also note that the range of the inside day candle is very small in comparison with the previous candles.
  • In order to trade the inside day candle, place a stop buy order above the high of the candle. 
  •                                                                                                                                                                                    Inside Day Candle- Chart 2
  • Similarly, place another stop sell order at the bottom of the candle.
  • When one of the orders gets executed, the other order becomes the real stop loss order.
  • Manage the trade by adjusting the stop loss or exit  near a known support or resistance.
  • Not every trade may lead to profits and on certain days both orders may get executed leading to losses.

    Nifty Futures - Daily Chart   


Formation of the inside day candles makes the immediate next direction of the Nifty contracts uncertain. Though the medium term trend is downwards, especially after the break of long term support line, markets can even make surprise rallies and test the upper resistances once more before resuming the down trend. However, it seems that the chances of the Nifty futures resuming the downtrend outweighs the start of significant recovery. 

Wednesday, June 22, 2011

Update for 22nd June 2011


 Nifty Futures in Sideways mode ?

As envisaged in the previous post, Nifty future seems to have gone in to a sideways trading mode in which it is in the process of testing the broken support of 5350. As usual, a broken support becomes a resistance and as such, the Nifty contract may find resistance at the 5350- 5400 range on any recovery efforts. Significant put writing was seen in yesterday's trading around the lower support at the 5200 strike. This might offer some support in the short term.  However, the fact of Nifty's break of  the old trading channel remains as a serious technical challenge for the market in the medium term.
  Nifty Futures - Intraday Chart  


   Nifty Futures - Daily Chart    

Note : The chart above shows the edited open and high price of current month Nifty futures contract as the reported open price was at  100 points higher than the realistic actual transactions seen at the open.