google.com, pub-7808368332557457, DIRECT, f08c47fec0942fa0 The Ultimate Momentum Signal

Friday, May 27, 2011

Update for 27th May 2011



   Nifty Futures In the Green !

Nifty future has bounced back from the previously indicated support zone of 5350 - 5400, though the lower end of the zone was  slightly broken on last Wednesday. Although it was indicated in the previous post that some of the stocks would be coming under negative pressure from the derivative expiry and therefore, the expiry would be near the strike of 5300, it was not be. This guess was made due to new selling seen in in the money (ITM) 5300 call options on last Wednesday. However, massive covering of ITM 5300 calls were seen during the trading of Thursday, right from the beginning, invalidating the previous guess.

Now the important question is whether the present bounce is a change of trend or not. At present it is difficult to predict, except for accepting the facts of the reasonable support of the 5350 - 5400 base and also the support of the lower boundary of the old trading channel. Moreover, trailing valuations are also at around the one and a half year lows. Therefore a rally to the middle of the  trading channel can not be ruled out at present. Anyway lets see what the Momentum Signal indicates in the next few days !

Nifty Futures - Intra-day Chart    



    Nifty Futures  - Daily Chart  


Thursday, May 26, 2011

Update for 26th May 2011


    The Derivative Expiry is Here !

An expiry of derivative contracts for the month of May, in which bulls have made heavy losses, is here. Expiry related negative pressure can be expected on many stocks in the afternoon session. Nifty future is expected to expire near to the strike of 5300 than 5400 in these circumstances. ( Please see the Option Pain chart of May series Nifty options elsewhere on this post. )

Nifty Futures - Intra-day Chart     



    Nifty Futures  - Daily Chart  


  Nifty Options Scene   

The May series Nifty Options Put Call ratio ( PCR May series ) decreased slightly to a below normal and bearish looking 0.55 times on Wednesday. The below normal PCR may indicate the negative bias of the market. 
 
May Series Nifty Option Pain Chart