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Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Update for 16th December 2010

   Nifty Future Declines On Bear Raid !  

It seems that the season of scams is here to stay. On Wednesday too, there were reports about new CBI raids related to the ongoing 2G scam investigations. It seems that bears also have made it a habit to raid the Dalal Street on all days some CBI raids take place. It also seems that the market is more susceptible to bad news now a days, may be because of the extended valuations and the questionable governance standards employed by many a corporates. 

On Wednesday, Nifty futures opened at 5951, just 7 points below the previous day's last traded price. Immediately after the open, it sold off to trade below the reference level of 5940 and almost reached the lower reference level at 5900. Since the contract sold off without trading at the previous close or the last  traded price,  a recovery ensued by around the 11.00 AM mark. However, the recovery failed after reaching to a high of 5955, thereby leaving very small subtle gap between the day's high and the previous close. Regular readers of this update might be familiar with this kind of subtle gaps which at some times indicate further weakness in the markets. However, such gaps may not have much predictive ability in range bound markets. Trading remained range bound in the 5900 to 5940 area till around the 1.30 PM mark. However, when European markets too went in to the negative territory, Nifty futures too broke the 5900 mark to record a low of 5873 in the afternoon session. However, the close was at 5896.  


  Nifty Futures - Intra-day Chart   

   

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Update for 15th December 2010

   Nifty Future Advances Further ! 


On Tuesday, Nifty futures opened exactly  where it closed on the previous day at 5931. In the initial phase till around 11.30 AM, the contract traded sideways mostly and kept itself below the resistance of 5940. It broke above the 5940 mark just after the announcement of a lower inflation figure. However, even after the breakout, trading remained mostly sideways. The day's high and low were at 5970 and 5906 respectively. The close was at 5959. The overhead resistances at  the 6000, 6030 and 6090 levels still remain valid. The following intra-day chart of Nifty futures show the two phases of Tuesday's trading, both before and after the declaration of inflation data.


  Nifty Futures - Intra-day Chart   
  



Nifty Futures - Daily Chart