google.com, pub-7808368332557457, DIRECT, f08c47fec0942fa0 The Ultimate Momentum Signal

Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Update for 9th December 2010

Nifty Heavy Weight Stocks Also Turn Losers !

It was reported in some of the previous posts that market lacked volumes at just above the 6000 mark of the Nifty Index. It seemed that trading at the recent top was very sluggish and lacked enthusiasm. It was also opined that Nifty future may try to move out of the narrow range in the early part of the week. The last two  posts also reported that market internals, as seen by the advance decline ratio, seemed to be very negative and traders may exercise caution. It was also stated that a reentry in to long position is not advisable because of  added risk. The Nifty heavyweights seemed to be unaffected by the overall negative market mood on the back of the new found strength in the oil and other commodity stocks. Even though Nifty future was expected to test the 6030 level as indicated in the previous post, finally, the prevailing negative mood caught up with the Nifty heavy weight stocks too, on Wednesday.  By the time market opened on Wednesday, the late positive momentum of  previous day seemed to have been vanished in to thin air. Nifty futures opened some 35 points below the last traded price because of the negative indications. The open remained as the day's high and the morning session's trading was mostly centered around the 5940 reference rate. 


 Nifty Futures - Intra-day Chart    


Update for 8th December 2010

  
  The Break of Low Also Fails and Now What ?

In the previous post it was opined that Nifty future may continue with the downward movement seen on late Monday and try to test the 5940 support below. However, it was also mentioned that even if the futures contracts trades down to the 5940 levels, it might still be in the positive momentum area. As expected the futures traded down on Tuesday after opening slightly higher at 6005. However, the expected test of 5940 ended at a higher point at 5956, on the back of the strength in the Reliance stock and other commodities stocks. However, the market breadth remained negative with widespread losses in the banking, mid and small cap sectors. As the Nifty future is still trading in the positive momentum area, it recovered at the second half of the trading session.


Nifty Futures - Intra-day Chart