google.com, pub-7808368332557457, DIRECT, f08c47fec0942fa0 The Ultimate Momentum Signal

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

Update for 24th November 2010

Great Escape II, But Will it Last ?


It is said that no trader can control the market and therefore, what a trader can do in preparation of  trading is to decide about what he will do as when market undergoes through or acts in accordance with the various anticipated scenarios. Here is an example which would have  turned in very good profits in Tuesday's trading. Sell Nifty futures if futures falls below the 5940 reference point and stays there. The reader might be curious why this is brought up now. Some selective quotes from the previous update will solve the problem. And here are the quotes :

"In spite of the recovery and a close above the major support of 5940, the fact remains that the market is still in a down trend and the latest close is still in the bear territory. Even though the European markets were trading positively when the Indian markets closed, the western financial stocks and commodities were losing in the overnight trade on the back of increasing fears about the sovereign debt problem and the bail out of the Ireland economy. Therefore, another retest of the support below and even a resumption of the downtrend itself can not be ruled out as of now." "Therefore, traders may watch the market action near and just above the highs of Monday's candle as well as at the support level at 5940 - 5950 on Tuesday, depending upon the market conditions to gain insights on trading." 

The first quote was given as the background information. The second quote was about the two anticipated scenarios of strength and weakness. However the required trade action was not included for want of real time  knowledge of the available market conditions. Let's sum it up ! " Let the market do it's thing ! We are prepared to do our thing ! "

Nifty Futures - Intra-day Line Chart 


Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Update for 23rd November 2010

Nifty Future Escapes Unhurt for the Time Being !!!


Last Friday, Nifty futures closed at a two month low below the support level of 5940. Even though this blog had pointed out that the sudden break of the support and a resultant sell off was of unknown origin and was related to the then evolving fluid situation on the political front,  it was still doubtful  to make a firm call about the immediate market direction. Hence it was pointed out that traders may observe the market action between the 5940 and 5950 levels of the Nifty futures to get a better idea of the market direction. It was also stated that if the Nifty future sustains above this resistance area, it may test the 6090 - 6000 minor resistance very easily.

Some readers might be curious why the past intra-day action is described almost regularly in the posts. The only reason behind these descriptions are the fact that these kinds of analysis is a great help in learning the process of real time analysis of market action.  

Nifty Futures - Intra-day Line Chart