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Sunday, March 31, 2013

The Ultimate Momentum Signal - Auto Updated Status


A note to the subscribers: The trading system is being auto-updated now and the same is available towards the end of this page. Since no new posts bearing the updates
 are being published, there will be no email updates also from now on. 
Please visit and check this page for your regular trading system updates.

Your Navigation System to the Nifty Futures and Options



If you have been trading the Nifty Futures and Options without knowing the possible market direction, well let's put it mildly, you are in the wrong direction!



You would know that the market never goes straight anywhere and it's zigzag motions would frustrate even the most experienced traders!




Welcome to the auto- updated status page of The Ultimate Momentum Signal, a position trading system, which could be your navigation system to the zigzag markets. The trading system with it's multidimensional risk management rules acts like a true guide to the discernible traders of Nifty futures and options and ensures their long term survival in the markets. Unlike others, no tall claims are ever made about the system. You are free to check it out!

If you would like to get a copy of the Momentum Signal spreadsheet (non-working of course!) covering a period of eight long years for any experiments or studies by you, a free download is available here.


If you are a new visitor and curious about the trading system, additional information about the system is available in the following pages:  

1. About
2. The Signal
3. Entries and Exits
4. Position Limits


In fact you would certainly benefit a lot by reading the following pages which explains the risks of trading and the long term index fundamentals and index investing. Well, reading these pages may even make you a seasoned trader and  investor!

1. Risk Analysis
2. FAQs
3. Risk Factors
4. Nifty Fundamentals
5. New Auto-Update Table


The following table shows the latest position of The Ultimate Momentum Signal, your navigation system to the Indian stock markets! If you find that the table is a no-show, please reload the page after a short time so that Google drive refreshes the table.



Finally, a small piece of advice too! Trade moderately and that too with small positions! Because trading is an inherently risky business and above all, it is not a hobby!

And the freely accessible online Position Limit Calculator is here to help you to trade moderately with small positions!

Wish you all prosperous trading and investing!

Mometumsignal

Important notice: Please read the risk factors, terms and conditions and the disclaimer stated on the 'Risk Factors' page of this site and it is deemed and implied that all visitors to this site have read and understood the same.

Nifty Index at 5690 is Equal to 4905

The look back continued....!



The last regular update of The Ultimate Momentum Signal was published on 23rd August 2011 before the stoppage. The data included in that update was for the trading day - 22nd August 2011. If we go back to those days, it is seen that the Nifty index was breaking down from the previous support of 5250 - 5300 levels at that time. Nifty index closed at 4905 as on 22nd August 2011.

Now, let me reproduce the Nifty trailing fundamentals data from that old update. 

 Nifty Trailing Fundamentals  


"The trailing Price Earnings Ratio  ( PE Ratio ), Price to Book Value ( PB Ratio ) and Dividend Yield ( DY Ratio ) of the Nifty Index  were at 17.68, 2.89 and 1.55 respectively as on 22nd August 2011."

And this is what this author opined in the post dated 19th August 2011 about the then Nifty trailing fundamentals.

"This blog had repeated time and again that Nifty valuations were stretched, and now, it seems that market is in the process of clipping the same. As the market has been pricey for a very long stretch of time and most market participants became used to the higher valuations, the present correction may appear to be very deep. However, it remains to be said that the trailing valuations have just fallen to the long term averages now. It is a very simple matter that the long term averages are supposed to be somewhere in the middle of the valuation ranges and therefore, at least for half the period used to calculate the averages, the index valuation have remained below the long term averages. Therefore, there is no such near limit at which the fall may get arrested. But, it is a fact that market has become comparatively safer for long term investors for they can buy at somewhat reasonable prices from now on and this itself may provide a bit of margin of safety and long term upside."  

Now, let me show the present data related to the trailing valuation of the the Nifty index. Here it is!



It doesn't need much effort or analysis to see that the the present day trailing fundamentals of Nifty index, which closed at 5690 as on 28th March 2013, is more or less equal to that of Nifty at 4905 in August 2011.

Now you know reason behind the seemingly absurd claim in the headline of this post; "Nifty Index at 5690 is Equal to 4905"! And this is why, despite the tall claims of impending heavy falls by some analysts, the index isn't going anywhere now a days. But this doesn't mean that the index will not fall further. But any steep falls from these levels will be good opportunities for the long term investors to add the index to their portfolios. 

To know about the long term valuations of the Nifty index please read Nifty Fundas.  

Cheers and Prosperous Investing!!!  

Disclaimer: No research, information or content contained herein or in the accompanied spreadsheet shall be construed as advice and is offered for information and educational purposes only. We shall not be responsible and disclaim any liability for any loss, liability, damage (whether direct or consequential) or expense of any nature whatsoever which may be suffered by the user or any third party as a result of or which may be attributable, directly or indirectly, to the use of or reliance on any information or service provided. All files/information is provided 'as is' with no warranty or guarantee as to its reliability or accuracy. We do not recommend, promote, endorse or offer any guarantee whatsoever in respect of any services or products offered in the advertisements displayed on the site by Google AdSense.

The Ultimate Momentum Signal - A look back

The Story So far

Its been more than an year since the regular updates of the The Ultimate Momentum Signal trading system were stopped. Now, I feel that the previous readers and subscribers as well the new visitors would have some curiosity about the outcomes of the system during the closure period. As being previously done, no direct outcomes are published even now!

Instead of the direct outcomes of trades, the full spreadsheet spanning a period of long eight years is made available to the trading public now. (Please note that only a limited non-working spreadsheet including only the front sheet of the original spreadsheet is published now as was previously done. As already stated elsewhere on this site, anyone could download and run whatever tests they may like with the published limited spreadsheet. Well, The Ultimate Momentum Signal is not a holy grail! It never was! Neither do I believe in the existence of any holy grail!


Click here to reach the The Ultimate Momentum Signal spreadsheet hosted with Google Docs.

Instructions to download > Click File> Download as> Choose your required format> Save file.

Cheers, Good Calculations, Prosperous Investing and Trading !!!

Disclaimer: No research, information or content contained herein or in the accompanied spreadsheet shall be construed as advice and is offered for information and educational purposes only. We shall not be responsible and disclaim any liability for any loss, liability, damage (whether direct or consequential) or expense of any nature whatsoever which may be suffered by the user or any third party as a result of or which may be attributable, directly or indirectly, to the use of or reliance on any information or service provided. All files/information is provided 'as is' with no warranty or guarantee as to its reliability or accuracy. We do not recommend, promote, endorse or offer any guarantee whatsoever in respect of any services or products offered in the advertisements displayed on the site by Google AdSense.

Saturday, March 30, 2013

Nifty Futures, CNX Nifty and BSE Sensex - The Latest Momentum Signal

I am extremely happy to restart a limited version of the updates of The Ultimate Momentum Signal. As my previous readers and subscribers know, The Ultimate Momentum Signal was used to be up-dated daily by publishing long posts showing the snapshots of the original spreadsheet and various other data and technical charts. The trading system is again made open to the trading public in a limited format due to the longstanding demand of several readers and subscribers. I have been receiving some persistent mails even now requesting  the resumption of the daily posts. Let me thank all of my readers and subscribers for the keen interest and the trust reposed on me and my system over this period of time! I would also like to express my sincere regret for the abrupt stoppage of the daily posts and the inconvenience caused to my readers and subscribers. Suffice it to say that the stoppage was forced on me due to some adverse health conditions and later on, due to the loss of data and backups due to a computer crash which ensued during my forced holiday. 

They say that "if anything can go wrong, it will". Yes, this long chapter of life almost resembled the many risk scenarios described already in the Risk Analysis page of this blog itself. 



After the recovery, both the health condition and the data, the daily updates remained suspended due to the workload and time involved in manually preparing the daily snapshots and publishing the same on a daily basis. I hope that my readers and subscribers would understand that the whole publishing was being done voluntarily and without collecting any subscription charges whatsoever.

Friday, March 29, 2013

Resumption of the daily updates


Please await the resumption of the daily updates of The Ultimate Momentum Signal in a limited format! More information will follow!



© 2010-2013, momentumsignal.blogspot.com All rights reserved.

 Disclaimer: No research, information or content contained herein or in the accompanied spreadsheet shall be construed as advice and is offered for information and educational purposes only. We shall not be responsible and disclaim any liability for any loss, liability, damage (whether direct or consequential) or expense of any nature whatsoever which may be suffered by the user or any third party as a result of or which may be attributable, directly or indirectly, to the use of or reliance on any information or service provided. All files/information is provided 'as is' with no warranty or guarantee as to its reliability or accuracy. We do not recommend, promote, endorse or offer any guarantee whatsoever in respect of any services or products offered in the advertisements displayed on the site by Google AdSense.